Zašto je Antonov (An-124) sletio u Beograd?

Antonov BeogradVijest dana je svakako slijetanje ukrajinskog aviona Antonov An-124-100M na aerodrom Nikola Tesla u Beogradu. Ovaj avion je doletio bez tereta iz Glazgova u Škotskoj, a avion će sa “Nikole Tesle” uz 52 tone robe za posebne namjene, poletjeti u četvrtak prvo ka Atini, a potom ka Mombasi u Keniji. Osim toga što je ovo jedan od najvećih transportnih aviona na svijetu, ovih dana svakako bilo kakva asocijacija na Ukrajinu i transportne avione doprinosi nagađanjima da li se možda i iz Beograda crnim tržištem vozi oružje za Ukrajinu. Indikativno u ovome svemu je i izjava o od 25.1.2015. premijera Srbije Aleksandra Vučića o prodaji oružja:

Premijer je rekao da je prodaja oružja odlična, da će se uložiti još novca u namjensku industriju, s obzirom da nema problema sa plasmanom robe, ali da, recimo, Srbija ne može da proizvede onoliko municije kolika je potražnja.

Poznavaocima geostrateških kretanja jasno je ko danas najviše kupuje oružje, no ipak ovaj put to nije u pitanju i nadamo se da neće ni biti ubuduće jer Srbija je zvanično neutralna i ne bi uopšte trebala da se na ovaj način mješa u sukobe, a još manje na strani Ukrajine.

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Naime, avion An-124-100M Ruslan, registarskih oznaka UR-82072 sletio je juče u Beograd iz Glazgova tačno u 14:53, što možete vidjeti i na zvaničnim stranicama za dolaske prema broju leta. Isti avion polijeće sa aerodroma u Beogradu za Atinu i to danas u 22:00, što takođe možete vidjeti na zvaničnim stranicama za odlaske prema broju leta.

Antonov, plan leta, BeogradNaravno možda oko ovog svega ne bi bilo ni ništa neobično ukoliko bi ovaj avion bio zvanično i prijavljen kao CARGO/KARGO odnosno teretni avion. No, na zvaničnim stranicama aerodroma u sekciji “KARGO” uopšte nema ovog aviona ni da je juče sletio ni da danas polijeće kao takav, odnosno teretni. U tu svrhu skinuo sam kargo letove u PDF čiju sliku Vam kačim ispod. Nemojte da Vas zbuni let iz Budimpešte jer je riječ o Antonovu An-26 koji je daleko manji od An-124-100M  i to uopšte nije isti avion o kome govorim u tekstu. Dakle u Beogradu se nalaze dva Antonova, jedan prijavljen na kargo transport, a drugi  nije. Postavlja se pitanje ZAŠTO ?

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Pored ovoga prema broju registracije aviona UR-82072, pokušao sam da istražim gdje je sve ovaj avion letio ovih dana. I ovi podaci su dostupni na stranicama flightradar24.com. Prema ovim podacima vidljivo je da je avion prije Glazgova boravio u Trondhajmu u Norveškoj. Razlog boravka u Norveškoj je prevoz važne komponente od 46 tona iz SAD za popravak kvara naftnih instalacija. U Norvešku je došao iz Njujorka, u Njujork iz Bukurešta, a u Bukurešt… iz mora u blizini Lampeduze, ostrva na jugu Italije pošto nisu dostupni kompletni podaci o kretanju.

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Ono što je mnogim ljudima bacilo sumnju na oružje je i informacija da je isti ovaj avion korišćen prošle godine za prevoz oružja iz Evrope kurdskim snagama “Pešmerga” koje su se u to vrijeme spremale u pohod na ISIL što se vidi na slici ispod.

Antonov Kurdish PeshmergaNaime, prava istina je zapravo da se u Antonovu iz Beograda danas prevoze djelovi crnogorske raketne topovnjače 401 “Rade Končar”. To je bio i prvi brod iz serije od ukupno šest raketnih topovnjača tog tipa koje su za Jugoslovensku Ratnu mornaricu od 1978 do 1983 godine, izgrađene u brodogradilištu Kraljevica u Hrvatskoj. Ministarstvo odbrane Crne Gore posredstvom firmi “Simon – PS” iz Herceg Novog i beogradskog “Yugoimporta SDPR“, prodalo je Ministarstvu odbrane Kenije jednu od ukupno četiri raketne topovnjače tipa 401, a koje su prije nekoliko godina, povučene iz operativne upotrebe u Mornarici. Ovo indirektno potvrđuje i dokument iz Ministarstva odbrane Crne Gore o postupku prodaje viškova naoružanja i ratne opreme, kao i tekst od 17.11.2014. o rashodovanju ove topovnjače kada je navedeno da je taj posao u poodmakloj fazi. U konkretnom slučaju radi se o  transportu djelova naoruzanja sa RTOP 401 u Keniju radi ugradnje na njihovu korvetu KNS “Jasiri”. U pitanju je pramčani top bofors 57 mm, krmeni top AK-630 plus radari i elementi (SUV) sistema za upravljanje vatrom 9LV-200. Sve to prije transporta je generalno remontovano u Kraljevu i Čačku. Kada se prouči procjenjena tonaža ovih djelova, vjerovatno uz sve popratne djelove iznosti tačno 52 tone koliko je i navedeno.

 

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Ministarstvu odbrane Kenije je ovaj brod isporučen 2012. godine i to prvenstveno zbog kontrole mora i obale te borbe sa somalijskim piratima. Još tada su naveli da je potrebno brod nadograditi sa novim i jačim topovima.

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Iako su postojala nagađanja da se vozi oružje za Ukrajinu, a djelom i zbog NATO saopštenja 16.1.2015. u kojem kaže da bi se pod određenim uslovima mogla pokrenuti inicijativa prodaje oružja kao pomoć Ukrajini. Možda nagađanja čak najviše bila zbog fotografije transpora tenkova iz Češke za Nigeriju sa drugim ukrajinskim avionom Antonov An-225 Mriya. Prema ugovoru Nigerija je još prošle godine kupila 16 tenkova, a ukrajinska kompanija Antonov je izabrana za transport.  To što je ukrajinska kompanija u pitanju ne mora da znači da će sve to završiti na frontu u Ukrajini ili se bar nadam da ipak neće… Bilo je čak i nagađanja da se ovim transportom večeras voze Nore – B52 ili oklopna vozila Lazar BVT. Iako je sadašnji premijer Srbije dok je boravio na mjestu ministra odbrane potpisao sporazum sa Kenijom o isporuci ovo je ipak djelom prethodno realizovano, a i masa samo dve Nore ili Lazara daleko premašuje 52 tone. Prema svemu navedenom vjerujem ili sam gotovo siguran da je u pitanju rashodovana topovnjača, a i zbog toga što avion putuje za Mombasu, a ne u Najrobi glavni grad Kenije, jer je upravo u Mombasi stacionirana korveta “Jasiri”. Mogu da se složim sa premijerom u konkretnom slučaju da je dobro da Srbija proizvodi oružje i da se profiliše na tom tržištu, ali svakako ne bi trebala da se u svjetske sukobe mješa putem crnog tržišta samo da bi se popunile rupe u budžetu ili da bi se natrpali džepovi pojedinaca. Osim povećanja proizvodnje i redovnog izvoza oružja, akcenant bi trebao da bude i na proizvodnji za unutrašnje potrebe i Vojsku Srbije, jer znam šta govorim.

Beautiful Ukraine – 15 intresting facts

ukraine_nature_prairie_1366x768_87969Every day as usually I firstly open my email to check on new messages. But on my surprise this morning I´ve got one mail from my Ukrainian friend who is now working in Shanghai at China Institute for Innovation. We met each other in Poland two years ago on Economic Forum of Young leaders.  His letter is about some special facts about Ukraine, mostly about those things that we usually don´t think of these days… Of course that I will transfer his mail here, but that what he wrote also inspired me to search a bit more about something interesting and nice about Ukraine to broke this every day monotony of conflict and to show you another side of this country. Here is letter of my friend Sergii and 5 facts about his country, after letter I will put illustrations and add few more facts.

Dear Neven

Ukraine has been pretty much on the news recently.

When I meet a new person and on the question “Where are you from?”, I reply “Ukraine” the next comment is usually “Oh, your country in mess now”. Usually I say “It’s temporarily and will get better soon”. In country’s life as well as in person’s life are ups and downs. Challenging times makes us stronger. I believe that Ukraine will get better. Here I decided to share with you five unknown or not that well known facts about Ukraine (you might share it with your friends):

  1. Ukraine is the largest country whose territory is entirely located in Europe. Larger than Ukraine in Europe – only Russia, Turkey and Denmark. However, most part of Russia and Turkey are in Asia, and the Danish island of Greenland belongs to North America region.
  2. In a beauty contest of languages in Paris in 1934, the Ukrainian language is ranked third after French and Persian on such criteria as phonetics, vocabulary, phraseology and sentence structure and took the second place after the Italian language in terms of melodiousness.
  3. Ukraine has 1/4 of all stocks of black soil on the planet. Black soil with proper handling gives the greatest number of crops and considers as the best land for agriculture.
  4. Ukraine has developed the aircraft with the largest carrying capacity in the world AN-225 “Mriya” (English name “Dream”). Originally it was designed to transport spacecrafts. The airplane “Dream” set 124 Guinnes records by taking on board 253 tons of cargo per flight in 2001.
  5. One of the world’s most famous Christmas songs – a “Shchedryk” ukrainian folk song was recorded by Ukrainian composer Mykola Leontovych. The world knows her as Carol of the Bells and Ring Christmas Bells.

Of course we do have lots of places with deep history, beautiful sea and mountains landscapes, delicious food, such as borsch and varenyky  (dumplings with potato) and old style rich architecture. As one of the examples, you may check the cultural capital of Ukraine – Lviv city.

Thank you!
All the Best,
Sergii

Except these five facts from my friend Sergy I searched for 10 more and here they are.

6. The “geographic center” of Europe is on the territory of Ukraine not far from Rakhiv in Zakarpatia oblast. As far back as 1887, experts of Austria Hungary had determined this point, stele and land-surveying sign marking it. In Latin, the following words were engraves there: LОСUS РЕRЕNNІS. Dilicentissime cum lіbеllа lіbrаtіоnіs guае еst іп Аustrіа еt Нungаrіа соnfесtа сum mеnsurа grаdum mеrіdіоnаlіum еt раrаllеlоumіеrum Еurореum. МD ССС LХХХVІІ, ” translated it sound like this: “Permanent, exact, and eternal place. Very precisely, using special apparatus made in Austria and Hungary, with scale of meridians and parallels, set the Center of Europe. 1887”

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7. Arsenalnaya Metro Station in Kiev is the deepest metro station in the world (105 meters). The station was built in 1960, very close to the House of Parliament. According to some reports, the tunnels near Arsenalnaya house secret shelters built specially for the political elite.

8. Ukraine, on its own initiative, refused the third largest arsenal of nuclear weapons in the world. At the moment of the declaration of independence, Ukraine had over a thousand nuclear warheads and the third largest nuclear potential after Russia and USA. The warheads and missiles were given to Russia, silos were destroyed. In response, Ukraine received the money for disarmament, plus security guarantees from the nuclear powers. I am wondering myself where are those guarantees today, and could it be maybe better in Ukraine nowadays if they would still had something from that nuclear arsenal…

9. The world’s famous song “O Sole Mio” was composed in Odessa. This song is often referred to as a Neapolitan song. Neapolitan songs were songs written for an annual songwriting contest for the Festival of Piedigrotta, which began in 1830, in Naples, Italy. “O Sole Mio” was composed by Eduardo Di Capua in Odessa during April 1898. Setting his music to the poem by Giovanni Capurro, Di Capua drew his inspiration while touring Crimea with his father (a violinist street musician). Di Capua and Capurro sold the rights of the song to the Bideri publishing house for 25 lire.

10. Ukraine has the world’s largest reserves of manganese ore – 2.3 billion tons or about 11% of all deposits of the world.

11. Ukrainians wear their wedding ring on the ring finger of their right hand instead of their left hand.

12. Ukraine suffered the world’s worst recorded nuclear accident. On the morning of April 26, 1986, reactor No. 4 at the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant, 80 miles north of Kiev, exploded, sending radioactive contaminants three miles up into the atmosphere and out over parts of Europe, Asia, and North America.

13. The monuments to a famous Ukrainian poet, Taras Shevchenko (Taras Buljba), are set in 1200 places around the world. However, most of them are located in western Ukraine.

14. The oldest map known to scientists, as well as the most ancient settlement of Homo Sapiens were found in Ukraine, in the village of Mezhireche. They are 14.5 – 15 thousand years old. The map is cut out of the bones of a mammoth. The settlement is made of the same material.

15. Khreshchatyk Street in Kiev is the shortest yet widest main city street in the world. Its length is 1.2 km.

I know that Ukraine suffer harsh times these days, but at least this could be my tribute to all my Ukrainian friends with wishes for peace, tolerance, mutual respect. Ukraine is geographically an European country but with its history, culture, religion, heritage and tradition belongs to the Eastern civilizational circle. That is what Ukraine is, a country with wealth in differences and its specific position.

OVER UKRAINE TO “NONALIGNMENT” – NEW OLD CHANCE FOR SERBIA AND BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA

g3983The latest events in Ukraine really showed us plenty of things, but perhaps most important thesis that stretches from the beginning of demonstration in Kiev, over referendum on Crimea, to the latest developments on the brink of war in Donetsk and Slaviansk the return of a multi-polar world order. Ukraine was accidentally or “intentionally” chosen to be the training ground for modern geopolitical chess game in which we can see the strength, power and influence testing between Russia and the United States. At the beginning of the year in conclusion of the text about  Russian missile diplomacy I mentioned this thesis about return of “multipolarity” and straightening poles on a global scale. As time passed, this thesis become increasingly clear and I think we’re much more in remind of the former Cold War rhetoric.

Barack_Obama_and_Vladmir_Putin_at_G8_summit_2013-1560x690_cReturn of Russia began with blockade of resolution about Syria intervention, and reached its zenith putting Crimea under its control. I think that in Russian case nothing is over yet, and that this is just the beginning. On the other side, the United States began to act like this long time ago and it is needless to enumerate: Yugoslavia, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Ukraine … Sympthomatic things about these events in Ukraine are the methods used for superiority. These methods of taking and putting under control the administrative buildings were used in Kiev, and the same were later used in  Crimea, as well in the Donetsk. Apparent intentions of pro – russian population that they can fight for their status only with the same methods as we saw in Kiev. Although the official position of Russia that are not involved in the events in Donetsk, it is obvious that they are on the territory of Ukraine represented via their secret services, either Russians and USA. The only who suffer in situation like this is Ukrainian people and their economy.

The last time when circumstances were such geopolitically like this, there has been formed “third block”, ie Non-Aligned Movement in 1961. year. This formula, which were first among equals applied by president of Yugoslavia  Josip Broz Tito, president of Egypt  Gamal Abdel Nasser, President of India Jawaharlal Nehru, president of Indonesia Sukarno and president of Ghana Kwame Nkrumah, proved to be very successful in the circumstances that prevailed at that time. Non-Aligned Movement member states were generally overwhelmingly positioned at the margins of the world impacts and the only affirmation within such alliances could bring their joint action to find collective interest and that their voice become honored by the great powers. Yugoslavia was particularly in a very specific situation of a “big gap” between East and West, either geographically and politically. Opting for one or the other completely, would mean economic collapse and political problems. The only logical solution was to remain non-aligned, or “neutral” in some way, and to get legitimacy and regard by others. President Tito of Yugoslavia as an good expert of his chances and “diplomatic fox” performed this maneuver with surgical precision and in the best possible manner in the interest of Yugoslavia.

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You don´t need not be so smart to conclude how successful diplomatic formula should be applied to identical political and global circumstances nowadays. I say this primarily referring to today’s awkward diplomatic position of Serbia and even worse position of Bosnia and Herzegovina, which since its establishment in this form there is no consistent diplomacy or foreign policy as a consequence of its internal political relations. To put it mildly, situation in this area is chaotic and could be described as good joke.For Serbia we know that country is officially in the process of accession negotiations with the EU, as well with small steps towards NATO membership. These small steps are reflected especially in the sending of an officer of the Army of Serbia at the headquarter office at NATO Joint Force Command in Naples, as well as few official meetings of officials of NATO and the Serbian Army. This is supported also by the dispatch from Wikileaks, originally sent from the U.S. Embassy in Belgrade to hands of Hillary Clinton. In this dispatch Jovan Ratkovic said that as a former Minister of Defense, President Tadic knows the issue well. Tadic believes that Serbia cannot remain outside of NATO forever, but doesn’t say this often because of the political sensitivity of the issue. Ratkovic explained that after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the citizens of Yugoslavia assumed that they would be among the first to enter both the European Union and NATO. It wasn’t until the wars of the Milosevic era and the 1999 NATO intervention that anti-NATO sentiment developed in Serbia. Ratkovic characterized current public support for Partnership for Peace participation and NATO membership as “surprisingly high” given Serbia’s history.” However, a little further eastern Serbia parallel builds strong ties with Russia, which the most visible evidence is the route of South Stream. In these circumstances, when it comes to complicating of situation in Ukraine and when UN General Assembly vote on the resolution which annexed the Crimea to Russia, inevitably comes up pressure on Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, where both states generally were abstain from the voting.

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Bosnia & Herzegovina and Serbia were the only abstain countries in the Balkans, which in general means that you are not declared. All other countries in the Balkans and from former Yugoslavia voted for this resolution. With this “garbled” move Serbia wanted to preserve good relations with the “booth sides” but after a while we can certainly expect this to bring new problems for Government because EU did not expect that, and in these circumstances, “to be abstain” means having position that not coincide with the same position within the EU. In Bosnia & Herzegovina abstain is almost standard story because three members of the Presidency who is in charge of foreign policy in general, could not agree on voting. Because of all the above mentioned, and primarily because of the “neo – multipolarity” and the complexity of the position in which are Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, I am very confident that both countries should clearly and diplomatically bring focus to change the status of observer and gain full membership status in the Non-Aligned Movement. Already in advance within the EU, on the possibility of these idea they did not take it too kindly and even emphasize that Serbia is no longer “non-aligned” and have to decide, although the EU itself is in the same position as the former Yugoslavia once. The attitude of the United States passed by the current Ambassador to Belgrade Michael Kirby showed us other side when he said :

“And for me, it will be interesting to contemplate that Serbia will do it, because it is a successor of Tito’s Yugoslavia, which was the founder of the Non-Aligned Movement. There is some ritual sense about the Non-Aligned Movement that will not take any side. This is something that Serbia has in its history, and perhaps in its future “

Except remark that Serbia is treated as successors of the former Yugoslavia, full membership in Non – Aligned would have greater maneuver space for Serbian nowadays situation. Deeper engagement and mobility in Non – Aligned movement could regain some old traditional friendship and improve economical situation, especially in the countries of growing African economies. On the other hand there would be possible to make ​​legitimate retreat towards NATO and also to confirm neutrality of Serbia declared by its National Assembly in Constitution. Besides this enhanced and a full engagement of Serbia would bring new energy to the Non-Aligned Movement and give more on the scale of importance. This would be also a great opportunity for Bosnia and Herzegovina to include itself seriously in international circles and to become more influent in the outer policy. With its comparative advantages Bosnia & Herzegovina could to accomplish primarily some economic benefits as well as Serbia, and moreover could be placed as partner with stance equally towards all, without any repercussions because all countries are aware of its constitution and complexity. Except this, Bosnia and Herzegovina should be completely demilitarized in the future, but this is not the subject of this analysis. My opinion is that with very quick turnaround to the Non-Aligned Movement, the position of Serbia would be much better, especially at the principles of greater development of economic diplomacy, without major political stories, and the situation at the global level itself brings us to this possible solution. This would also help to some stabilization in the Balkans relations between these two countries, as well as within Bosnia & Herzegovina itself, where there would not be different pressures and ugly methods tore down the position of the Republic of Srpska which guaranteed by the Dayton agreement and the focus should be shifted from political and constitutional questions to and only to economic development. When all is summed up, it seems that an indirect hint from Ambassador Kirby in general does not seem so bad, and how we are going to do, time will tell us in the future.

Ukraine Neo – fascism in service of “western” geostrategy

g3188This violence that we can watch these days on the streets of Kiev is far more than ordinary expression of popular anger against a government. Instead of that I think that this is actually the latest example of most insidious form of fascism rebirth that Europe has seen since the fall of the Third Reich. I will present you here few organisations that fought there for better Ukraine with EU values against regime of Victor  Yanukovych. Maybe his governance was not so good and beside this protest social situation in Ukraine could be better, but can you imagine what would happen in USA if there were scenes like this from Kiev ?

Please watch this short video.

One of the first organisations that took part in ruining and burning of Kiev is called “Right Sector” The organisation believes the current situation is an opportunity “to destroy the state skeleton” and start building a new state, although activists said they do not support the idea of joining the EU, which they consider to be an “oppressor of European nations”. Their founder is  Stephen Bandera. People from western  part of Ukraine consider him as hero, while people from eastern part of Ukraine and Russia consider him as extreme nationalist, terrorist and quisling. Former president of Ukraine Viktor Yushchenko awarded to Bandera the title of Hero of Ukraine in January 2010., but that title was officially annulled by president Victor  Yanukovych in 2011. This is their old logo, a Wolfsangel rune, a common symbol for European neo-Nazi organizations.

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g3041                                   Luftwaffe official flag and German SS division helmet.

Next organisation from these demonstrations that remind us on fascistic period is “Svoboda“, the Ukraine’s ultra-nationalist party that capture 10% of the votes at the last elections and entering the legislature for the first time. Their base of support is mainly in the country’s west, while voters in the east and south view them as extremists. The leader of the Svoboda, Oleh Tyahnybok, regularly appears alongside Vitali Klitschko as one of the key protest participants. Svoboda party gain membership as observer at the Alliance of European National Movements, along with France’s National Front, the British National Party. 

g3110                      President of “Svoboda”Oleh Tyahnybok & US senator John McCain

Except this Vice Chairman of the “Svoboda” Pankevych Oleh Ihorovych last year took part with his speech at funeral of Ukrainians who fought for Nazi SS soldiers during WWII. You can watch this from 0:32 on video below.

Another organisation that was represented as opposition is Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms (Udar) led by the former world heavyweight boxing champion Vitali Klitschko. As we know from the history of demonstrations (UDAR or PUNCH) symbol is “Raised fist” formerly used in Yougoslavia, Libya, Egypt, Syria, these days in Ukraine, Bosnia & Herzegovina and Venezuela. This party also have strong link with EU because they got observer status at European People’s Party. The party won 40 seats in the Ukrainian parliament. At photos below we can see Klitschko at visit to the NATO HQ. On the second photo he is with mentioned senator McCain.

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Protesters from Kiev also made their link with Syrian rebels today. They put Syrian rebel flag beside their national Ukraine flag at the main square in Kiev. Most of us are aware of USA perfidious games around Syria, especially about chemical attack for which they accused Assad forces, and  actually that attack was rebel inside job. Fortunately, Russia has seen through this game and stopped the NATO intervention in Syria. So what we can conclude after we saw Syrian rebel and terrorist flag at Kiev main square ?

bv3DkcXqGXEAll what happening these days in Ukraine is actually very simple geostrategical game of special war, very well organised by western intelligence. Goal of special war is to use citizens of home country in this case Ukraine, as their warriors.  USA and NATO lost their chance for false intervention and conquering of Syria but they have managed very fast how to repress Russia. Ukraine was wisely selected for that purpose, because of complex religious situation and invisible division on eastern and western part (blue & orange).  Their goal is to make Russia weaker on geopolitical chessboard. On that board few months ago we had game of “shield & missiles” arround Kaliningrad where Russia showed strength of their missile diplomacy on stage. Of course social situation in Ukraine is not on satisfactory level, but those who organized protests dont care for that, because their purpose and final goal is not to help Ukraine to overcome their social and economic problems. As conclusion to this text I will say that I have few excellent Ukrainian friends and especially for them and all other Ukrainians…  let there firstly be peace.